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MLB FREE PICKS 7/22/24

FREE PICK: GIANTS-DODGERS UNDER 8.5
Blake Snell has found his groove this season. Much like last year, Snell started slowly and still has an ERA over 6.00 but over the last three starts, he has a 1.62 ERA and 18 Ks in 16.2 innings. He’s pitched well against the Dodgers in his career with a 2.59 ERA overall. At Dodger Stadium, he’s even better - 1.80 ERA. The Dodgers will start rookie River Ryan, who makes his MLB debut. Don’t worry. The Giants just finished a series in Colorado and teams coming off a Rockies game on no rest don’t play very well the next day. The Giants have seen the Under cash in their last five straight games. Make it six.

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FREE PICK:  METS-MARLINS OVER 8.5
Yonny Chirinos is set to fire some batting practice for the Mets tonight. He’s given up a healthy 13 ER in his last 3 starts, including 7 in his last one against the Reds. The Mets have won 8 of their last 12 games and 4 of their last 6 have gone Over the total. They’ll be jacked for this one. They don’t want to lose a series to the lowly Marlins. David Peterson starts for the Mets. He’s been outstanding in each of his eight starts this season. The Mets have won his last seven straight and he’s received plenty of run support - 8.6 per game, to be exact.

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FREE PICK:  WHITE SOX-RANGERS F5 UNDER 4.5
Erick Fedde starts for the White Sox and that typically points to the Under. He has back-to-back quality starts and White Sox wins, though one of the games did go Over as Chicago found a way to score 8 runs. The Sox will go up against Michael Lorenzen, who has been inconsistent this season. He gave up 5 ER in his last start, but 0 in the start before that against the Rays. The F5 Under has cashed in 7 of the last 10 for the White Sox. With Fedde and Lorenzen on the mound to start, the F5 Under comes through again.

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MLB Free Picks 7/20/24

FREE PICK: DBACKS-CUBS OVER 8.5

Zac Gallen starts for Arizona and, historically, he has had issues pitching on the road. Lately, he’s been giving a lot of runs no matter where he’s pitching. Over his last 3 starts, Gallen has allowed 13 ER in 13 IP. All three games went Over the total. Kyle Hendricks starts for Chicago and, while he’s pitched better in his last two starts, he still has a 6.78 ERA. In his last start against Arizona, Hendricks gave up 7 ER. Eleven of Arizona’s last 14 games have gone Over the total.

FREE PICK:  PHILLIES-PIRATES UNDER 8.5

This is a quality pitching matchup here. Cristopher Sanchez is 7-4 with a 2.87 ERA so far this season. He’s given up 2 or fewer ER in 4 of his last 5 starts. Philadelphia has won 4 of his last 5 starts. Luis Ortiz is 4-0 with a 2.83 ERA. He’s started 3 games for the Bucs this season and allowed 1, 0, and 1 earned run. All three games went Under the total. Philadelphia’s bullpen has been outstanding over the last month and Sanchez has already beaten the Pirates this season, holding them to one run back in May.

FREE PICK: ASTROS-MARINERS UNDER 7.5

Last night’s game went Under making it five straight between these two teams. All four totals were either 7 or 7.5. George Kirby is outstanding at home - 5-2 with a 2.68 ERA. Framber Valdez is 8-5 overall with a 3.94 ERA. Houston has won each of his last four starts, including two on the road. In the last ten games between these two teams, they have averaged a total of 6.5 runs. T-Mobile Park is one of the most pitcher-friendly parks in MLB.

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